Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Teutonia Weiden vs SSV Merten

Teutonia Weiden vs SSV Merten Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:30

Teutonia Weiden logo
Teutonia Weiden
PPG 0.57 · HOME
0 – 10
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
SSV Merten logo
SSV Merten
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.1%0-29.0%0-310.5%0-4+22.8%1 1-01.0%1-13.7%1-26.4%1-37.5%1-4+16.3%2 2-00.4%2-11.3%2-22.3%2-32.7%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 9.6%
Draw 21.2%
Away win 69.2%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 55.3%
Home O1.5 16.1%
Away O1.5 86.5%

League track record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 76%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-10
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)3.5 BTTS prob55.3%

A 69% / xG 0.7-3.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 10.5%
#2 0–4 9.3%
#3 0–2 9.0%
#4 1–3 7.5%
#5 1–4 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teutonia Weiden0.7
SSV Merten3.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTONIA WEIDEN · PPG 0.57

SSV MERTEN · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Teutonia Weiden (H) 9.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SSV Merten (A) 69.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teutonia Weiden face SSV Merten in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teutonia Weiden a 10% chance, the draw 21% and SSV Merten 69%, so SSV Merten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Teutonia Weiden and 3.5 for SSV Merten (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teutonia Weiden are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.50 for SSV Merten. This match finished 0-10.

PredictVantage

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