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Siegburger vs Hennef Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:30

Siegburger

PPG 1.71 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Hennef

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=60.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.4%1-13.8%1-22.2%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.0%2-16.7%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-17.9%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-117.0%4+-29.5%4+-33.5%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.8% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 19.8% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 86.5% — — —

Away O1.5 30.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.7%

H 61% / xG 3.5-1.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%

#2 3–0✓ 7.0%

#3 4–1 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 4–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Siegburger3.5

Hennef1.1

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SIEGBURGER · PPG 1.71

HENNEF · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=60.8%

Win probability 1X2

Siegburger (H) 60.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hennef (A) 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Siegburger face Hennef in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siegburger a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Hennef 20%, so Siegburger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Siegburger and 1.1 for Hennef (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siegburger are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.86 for Hennef. This match finished 3-0.

Siegburger vs Hennef Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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