Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / Konigsdorf vs Pesch

Konigsdorf vs Pesch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:30

Konigsdorf

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Pesch

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=61.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.5%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.8%1-12.0%1-21.1%1-30.4%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.0%2-14.5%2-22.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.8%3-16.5%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-020.7%4+-123.1%4+-212.9%4+-34.8%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.3% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 19.6% — — —

Over 2.5 80.0% — — —

Over 3.5 58.6% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 93.1% — — —

Away O1.5 30.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob63.4%

H 61% / xG 4.4-1.1 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 7.0%

#2 3–1 6.5%

#3 4–0 6.3%

#4 5–1 6.1%

#5 3–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Konigsdorf4.4

Pesch1.1

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KONIGSDORF · PPG 1.86

PESCH · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=61.3%

Win probability 1X2

Konigsdorf (H) 61.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pesch (A) 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Konigsdorf face Pesch in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Konigsdorf a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Pesch 20%, so Konigsdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for Konigsdorf and 1.1 for Pesch (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Konigsdorf are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.14 for Pesch.

Konigsdorf vs Pesch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein Predictions