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Fortuna Koln B vs SF Duren Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:30

Fortuna Koln B

PPG 1.21 · HOME

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

SF Duren

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.21) vs P(Home)=61.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.9%0-20.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.4%1-13.2%1-22.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.4%2 2-04.4%2-16.0%2-24.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.4%3-17.3%3-24.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-013.0%4+-117.6%4+-211.9%4+-35.4%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% — — —

Draw 19.5% — — —

Away win 18.7% — — —

Over 2.5 73.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 88.3% — — —

Away O1.5 39.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 62% / xG 3.7-1.4 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 4–1 6.7%

#3 2–1 6.0%

#4 3–0 5.4%

#5 4–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fortuna Koln B3.7

SF Duren1.4

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FORTUNA KOLN B · PPG 1.21

SF DUREN · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.21) vs P(Home)=61.8%

Win probability 1X2

Fortuna Koln B (H) 61.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SF Duren (A) 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortuna Koln B face SF Duren in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortuna Koln B a 62% chance, the draw 20% and SF Duren 19%, so Fortuna Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Fortuna Koln B and 1.4 for SF Duren (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortuna Koln B are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.29 for SF Duren. This match finished 6-1.

Fortuna Koln B vs SF Duren Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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