Today / Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein / E. Hohkeppel vs Duren

E. Hohkeppel vs Duren Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 29 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:30

E. Hohkeppel logo
E. Hohkeppel
PPG 2.50 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Duren logo
Duren
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.4%1-13.8%1-22.2%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.9%2-16.7%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.9%3-17.9%3-24.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-015.0%4+-117.1%4+-29.7%4+-33.7%4+-4+1.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 65.1%
Draw 20.3%
Away win 14.5%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 61.8%
Home O1.5 86.6%
Away O1.5 31.4%

League track record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 76%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.8%

H 65% / xG 3.5-1.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%
#2 3–0 6.9%
#3 4–1 6.9%
#4 2–1 6.7%
#5 4–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Hohkeppel3.5
Duren1.1

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

E. HOHKEPPEL · PPG 2.50

DUREN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

E. Hohkeppel (H) 65.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Duren (A) 14.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Hohkeppel face Duren in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Hohkeppel a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Duren 14%, so E. Hohkeppel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for E. Hohkeppel and 1.1 for Duren (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Hohkeppel are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Duren. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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