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Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 logo Norway flag Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Regular Season - 9 Sunday, May 31, 2026 13:00
Sandefjord B logo Sandefjord B PPG 2.25
4-0 MISS
Fram logo Fram PPG 0.75
HomeO15ยท +25.7% ๐ŸŽฏ STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.9%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +24.8%
Draw 19.3%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -9.9%
Away 19.8%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -29.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home โœ”

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 80.0% Odds: 1.22 -2.4%
Over 3.5 60.8% Odds: 1.53 -7.0%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.19 -21.6%
O2.5 OVER โ†’ OVER โœ” BTTS YES โ†’ NO โœ˜

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-1 โœ˜
2nd 3-1 โœ˜
3rd 4-2 โœ˜
4th 5-1 โœ˜
5th 3-2 โœ˜

Expected Goals (xG)

Sandefjord B
4.23
Fram
1.77

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded โ€” EV is negative (-2.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

๐ŸŽฏ STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=60.9%

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