Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Sandefjord B vs Fram

Sandefjord B vs Fram Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Sandefjord B

PPG 2.25 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Fram

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 92.4% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5% — a clear edge.

+25.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.4%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.0%1-11.9%1-21.6%1-31.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-02.2%2-13.9%2-23.5%2-32.0%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.1%3-15.5%3-24.9%3-32.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-010.4%4+-118.4%4+-216.3%4+-39.6%4+-4+6.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% 48.8% 2.05 +24.8%

Draw 19.3% 23.1% 4.33 -9.9%

Away win 19.8% 39.2% 2.55 -29.7%

Over 2.5 80.0% 82.0% 1.22 -2.4%

Over 3.5 60.8% 65.4% 1.53 -7.0%

BTTS 65.9% 84.0% 1.19 -21.6%

Home O1.5 92.4% 73.5% 1.36 +25.7%

Away O1.5 52.7% 59.5% 1.68 -11.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)4.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob65.9%

H 61% / xG 4.2-1.8 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 5.9%

#2 3–1 5.5%

#3 4–2 5.2%

#4 5–1 5.0%

#5 3–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord B4.2

Fram1.8

COMBINED 6.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 60.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD B · PPG 2.25

FRAM · PPG 0.75

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=60.9%

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord B (H) 60.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +24.8%

Draw 19.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -9.9%

Fram (A) 19.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -29.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord B face Fram in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord B a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Fram 20%, so Sandefjord B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Sandefjord B and 1.8 for Fram (6.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord B are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Fram. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +25.7%. This match finished 4-0.

Sandefjord B vs Fram Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions