Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
โ
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 80.0% Odds: 1.22 -2.4%
Over 3.5 60.8% Odds: 1.53 -7.0%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.19 -21.6%
O2.5 OVER โ OVER โ BTTS YES โ NO โ
Correct Score Picks
1st 4-1 โ
2nd 3-1 โ
3rd 4-2 โ
4th 5-1 โ
5th 3-2 โ
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -2.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded โ EV is negative (-2.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
๐ฏ STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=60.9%