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Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 logo Norway flag Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Regular Season - 9 Sunday, May 31, 2026 13:00
Raelingen logo Raelingen PPG 2.50
0-0 MISS
Orn Horten logo Orn Horten PPG 1.25
HomeO15· +37.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.5%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +9.8%
Draw 20.5%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -9.6%
Away 49.0%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -17.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.36 -1.1%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.75 -4.5%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.36 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-3
4th 1-3
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Raelingen
2.10
Orn Horten
2.73

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -1.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+37.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 31%
Score Hit 39%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=30.5%

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