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Raelingen vs Orn Horten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Raelingen

PPG 2.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Orn Horten

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 75.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.2%0-23.0%0-32.7%0-4+3.6%1 1-01.7%1-14.6%1-26.3%1-35.7%1-4+7.5%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.6%2-36.0%2-4+7.9%3 3-01.2%3-13.4%3-24.6%3-34.2%3-4+5.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.9%4+-23.9%4+-33.6%4+-4+4.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.5% 27.8% 3.60 +9.8%

Draw 20.5% 24.4% 4.10 -9.6%

Away win 49.0% 59.5% 1.68 -17.7%

Over 2.5 72.7% 73.5% 1.36 -1.1%

Over 3.5 54.6% 57.1% 1.75 -4.5%

BTTS 65.9% 73.5% 1.36 -10.4%

Home O1.5 62.0% 45.0% 2.22 +37.6%

Away O1.5 75.6% 71.4% 1.40 +5.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob65.9%

A 49% / xG 2.1-2.7 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.6%

#2 1–2 6.3%

#3 2–3 6.0%

#4 1–3 5.7%

#5 1–1 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raelingen2.1

Orn Horten2.7

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RAELINGEN · PPG 2.50

ORN HORTEN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=30.5%

Win probability 1X2

Raelingen (H) 30.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +9.8%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -9.6%

Orn Horten (A) 49.0%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -17.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raelingen face Orn Horten in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raelingen a 31% chance, the draw 21% and Orn Horten 49%, so Orn Horten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Raelingen and 2.7 for Orn Horten (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raelingen are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.25 for Orn Horten. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +37.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Raelingen vs Orn Horten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions