Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.36 -1.1%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.75 -4.5%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.36 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-2 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-3 ✘
4th 1-3 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -1.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: HomeO15 (+37.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 13 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 31%
Score Hit 39%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=30.5%