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Elverum vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Elverum

PPG 2.25 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Brumunddal

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.3%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.8%1-11.3%1-20.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.2%2 2-02.0%2-13.0%2-22.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-15.0%3-23.7%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-016.1%4+-124.0%4+-217.9%4+-38.9%4+-4+4.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.9% 98.0% 1.02 -27.7%

Draw 20.3% 10.9% 9.20 +52.1%

Away win 8.8% 3.4% 29.00 +93.1%

Over 2.5 80.0% 89.3% 1.12 -10.4%

Over 3.5 69.0% 75.8% 1.32 -8.9%

BTTS 63.4% 48.5% 2.06 +30.6%

Home O1.5 95.5% — — —

Away O1.5 44.0% 14.6% 6.85 +201.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)4.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 71% / xG 4.9-1.5 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.0%

#2 5–1 5.9%

#3 3–1 5.0%

#4 4–2 4.5%

#5 5–2 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elverum4.9

Brumunddal1.5

COMBINED 6.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ELVERUM · PPG 2.25

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Elverum (H) 70.9%

ODDS 1.02 · IMPLIED 98.0% EV -27.7%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 9.20 · IMPLIED 10.9% EV +52.1%

Brumunddal (A) 8.8%

ODDS 29.00 · IMPLIED 3.4% EV +93.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Elverum face Brumunddal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elverum a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Brumunddal 9%, so Elverum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.9 for Elverum and 1.5 for Brumunddal (6.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elverum are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Brumunddal. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +201.4%. This match finished 4-0.

Elverum vs Brumunddal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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