Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Vindbjart vs Odd II

Vindbjart vs Odd II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 16:00

Vindbjart logo
Vindbjart
PPG 1.83 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Odd II logo
Odd II
PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-12.2%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.5%1-16.2%1-23.0%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.0%2-18.8%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.7%4+-111.4%4+-25.5%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 64.7%
Draw 16.8%
Away win 18.5%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 44.9%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 66.5%
Away O1.5 28.3%

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 74%
Score Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob62.1%

H 65% / xG 2.8-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.0%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 3–0 8.5%
#4 3–1 8.2%
#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vindbjart2.8
Odd II1.0

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VINDBJART · PPG 1.83

ODD II · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.83 for Home, form 1.83 vs 1.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vindbjart (H) 64.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Odd II (A) 18.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vindbjart face Odd II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vindbjart a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Odd II 19%, so Vindbjart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Vindbjart and 1.0 for Odd II (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vindbjart are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.14 for Odd II.

PredictVantage

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