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Lithuania - A Lyga
Regular Season - 16
Sunday, May 31, 2026
11:15
Kauno Zalgiris
PPG 1.88
0-1
MISS
Zalgiris
PPG 1.29
Away· -4.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
53.7%
Odds: 1.67
EV: -10.3%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -8.8%
Away
21.2%
Odds: 4.40
EV: -4.0%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.8%
Odds: 1.80
-15.8%
Over 3.5
27.8%
Odds: 3.00
-10.0%
BTTS
47.2%
Odds: 1.75
-17.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kauno Zalgiris
1.67
Zalgiris
0.76
Model Suggestion
Home
-10.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -10.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)