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Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 10 Vapenvallen· Huskvarna Sunday, May 31, 2026 11:00
Husqvarna logo Husqvarna PPG 2.50
3-1 MISS
Stenungsund logo Stenungsund PPG 0.25
Away· +41.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.2%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -21.7%
Draw 20.0%
Odds: 5.00 EV: 0.0%
Away 18.8%
Odds: 9.00 EV: +41.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.45 -7.1%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 2.10 -14.9%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.70 -10.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Husqvarna
2.57
Stenungsund
0.72

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+41.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 27%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=61.2%

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