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Husqvarna vs Stenungsund Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Husqvarna

PPG 2.50 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Stenungsund

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 72.6% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-12.7%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.6%1-16.9%1-22.5%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-18.9%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.5%3-17.6%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.5%4+-19.0%4+-23.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.2% 78.1% 1.28 -21.7%

Draw 20.0% 20.0% 5.00 0.0%

Away win 18.8% 11.1% 9.00 +41.5%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.0% 1.45 -7.1%

Over 3.5 40.5% 47.6% 2.10 -14.9%

BTTS 52.4% 58.8% 1.70 -10.9%

Home O1.5 72.6% 78.1% 1.28 -7.1%

Away O1.5 16.4% 25.0% 4.00 -20.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -16.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.4%

H 61% / xG 2.6-0.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 3–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 1–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Husqvarna2.6

Stenungsund0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HUSQVARNA · PPG 2.50

STENUNGSUND · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=61.2%

Win probability 1X2

Husqvarna (H) 61.2%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -21.7%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV 0.0%

Stenungsund (A) 18.8%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +41.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Husqvarna face Stenungsund in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Husqvarna a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Stenungsund 19%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Husqvarna and 0.7 for Stenungsund (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Husqvarna are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Stenungsund. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +41.5%. This match finished 3-1.

Husqvarna vs Stenungsund Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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