Today / Iceland - 1. Deild / Sandviken vs Brattvag

Sandviken vs Brattvag Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild

Regular Season - 7 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 14:00

Sandviken logo
Sandviken
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
Brattvag logo
Brattvag
PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 38.2% — a clear edge.

+80.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-110.6%0-212.6%0-310.0%0-4+10.5%1 1-03.2%1-17.7%1-29.2%1-37.3%1-4+7.7%2 2-01.2%2-12.8%2-23.4%2-32.7%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 13.4% 62.5% 1.60 -47.1%
Draw 20.8% 24.4% 4.10 -8.8%
Away win 65.8% 22.7% 4.40 +189.5%
Over 2.5 64.1% 69.0% 1.45 -7.1%
Over 3.5 39.5% 46.5% 2.15 -15.1%
BTTS 52.0% 67.6% 1.48 -23.0%
Home O1.5 16.7% 69.0% 1.45 -45.5%
Away O1.5 68.8% 38.2% 2.62 +80.3%

League track record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5 61%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -14.7%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob52.0%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.6%
#2 0–3 10.0%
#3 0–1 10.6%
#4 1–2 9.2%
#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken0.7
Brattvag2.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.00

BRATTVAG · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 13.4%
ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -47.1%
Draw 20.8%
ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -8.8%
Brattvag (A) 65.8%
ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +189.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Brattvag in Iceland - 1. Deild on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Brattvag 66%, so Brattvag are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sandviken and 2.4 for Brattvag (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Brattvag. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +218.1%. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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