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France - Ligue 1 Saturday, April 18, 2026 15:00 
Lorient PPG 1.93 
Marseille PPG 1.36
France - Ligue 1 Saturday, April 18, 2026 15:00 Lorient PPG 1.932-0 MISS
Marseille PPG 1.36Home· +64.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 69.7% Odds: 1.67 +16.4%
Over 3.5 48.4% Odds: 2.70 +30.7%
BTTS 69.6% Odds: 1.62 +12.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient 1.76
Marseille 1.84
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +16.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+64.6%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+64.6%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)