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Chile - Primera División
Regular Season - 14
Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos· Santiago de Chile
Saturday, May 30, 2026
21:30
U. de Chile
PPG 1.80
2-1
MISS
Concepcion
PPG 0.86
Draw· +18.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
48.3%
Odds: 1.50
EV: -27.6%
Draw
31.3%
Odds: 3.80
EV: +18.9%
Away
20.4%
Odds: 6.25
EV: +16.5%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
32.7%
Odds: 1.93
-36.9%
Over 3.5
17.9%
Odds: 3.35
-24.0%
BTTS
41.8%
Odds: 1.95
-18.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-1
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
U. de Chile
1.22
Concepcion
0.44
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=48.3%