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Chile - Primera División
Regular Season - 14
Estadio La Portada· La Serena
Saturday, May 30, 2026
19:00
La Serena
PPG 1.71
2-4
MISS
Colo-Colo
PPG 2.50
Home· +5.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.1%
Odds: 3.90
EV: +5.8%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -5.3%
Away
44.8%
Odds: 1.88
EV: -15.8%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
48.5%
Odds: 2.00
-3.0%
Over 3.5
30.0%
Odds: 3.40
+2.0%
BTTS
52.0%
Odds: 1.77
-8.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
La Serena
0.94
Colo-Colo
1.33
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-8.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.71)