Today / AB Argir vs NSI Runavik

AB Argir vs NSI Runavik Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

AB Argir
PPG 1.40 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
NSI Runavik
PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-110.0%0-29.2%0-35.6%0-4+3.9%1 1-05.8%1-110.7%1-29.9%1-36.0%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.1%2-15.8%2-25.3%2-33.3%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.1%3-12.1%3-21.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.2%
Draw 22.5%
Away win 56.3%
Over 2.5 60.1%
Over 3.5 36.2%
BTTS 55.3%
Home O1.5 29.2%
Away O1.5 54.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.3%

A 56% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 1–2 9.9%
#3 0–2 9.2%
#4 0–1 10.0%
#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AB Argir1.1
NSI Runavik1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AB ARGIR · PPG 1.40

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

AB Argir (H) 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
NSI Runavik (A) 56.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

AB Argir face NSI Runavik on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AB Argir a 21% chance, the draw 23% and NSI Runavik 56%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for AB Argir and 1.8 for NSI Runavik (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AB Argir are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.83 for NSI Runavik. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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