Today / KC Current W vs Boston Legacy W

KC Current W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

KC Current W
PPG 3.00 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5
Boston Legacy W
PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-14.8%0-22.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.9%1-19.7%1-23.9%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.0%2-19.8%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.1%3-16.6%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-15.3%4+-22.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.2%
Draw 22.6%
Away win 21.1%
Over 2.5 56.8%
Over 3.5 36.2%
BTTS 52.1%
Home O1.5 59.8%
Away O1.5 19.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.1%

H 56% / xG 2.0-0.8 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%
#2 1–1 9.7%
#3 1–0 11.9%
#4 2–1 9.8%
#5 3–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KC Current W2.0
Boston Legacy W0.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KC CURRENT W · PPG 3.00

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Win probability 1X2

KC Current W (H) 56.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Boston Legacy W (A) 21.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KC Current W face Boston Legacy W on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KC Current W a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Boston Legacy W 21%, so KC Current W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for KC Current W and 0.8 for Boston Legacy W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KC Current W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Boston Legacy W. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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