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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 34 Donaustadion· Ulm Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:30
Ulm logo Ulm PPG 1.00
2-1 HIT CS2
Havelse logo Havelse PPG 0.63
Away· +64.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.6%
Odds: 1.67 EV: -30.5%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -14.3%
Away 38.0%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +64.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 77.9% Odds: 1.48 +15.3%
Over 3.5 59.0% Odds: 2.15 +26.9%
BTTS 76.1% Odds: 1.48 +12.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ulm
2.11
Havelse
2.01

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +15.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+64.5%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.63)

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