Today / R. Hadzici vs GOSK Gabela

R. Hadzici vs GOSK Gabela Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

R. Hadzici

PPG 1.55 · HOME

UPCOMING

GOSK Gabela

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-114.1%0-27.3%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.1%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.3%2-16.5%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 31.0% — — —

Away win 36.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.1% — — —

Over 3.5 26.2% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 24.9% — — —

Away O1.5 27.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

D 31% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.1%

#4 1–0 13.1%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Hadzici1.0

GOSK Gabela1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.1% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

R. HADZICI · PPG 1.55

GOSK GABELA · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

R. Hadzici (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

GOSK Gabela (A) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Hadzici face GOSK Gabela on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Hadzici a 32% chance, the draw 31% and GOSK Gabela 37%, so GOSK Gabela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for R. Hadzici and 1.0 for GOSK Gabela (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Hadzici are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.17 for GOSK Gabela.

R. Hadzici vs GOSK Gabela Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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