Today / Celik vs Igman Konjic

Celik vs Igman Konjic Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Celik

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Igman Konjic

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=64.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-13.8%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.2%1-18.3%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-19.2%2-23.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.0%3-16.8%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-16.4%4+-22.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.3% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 14.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 64.9% — — —

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.2%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.7 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.5%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 3–0 10.0%

#4 1–1 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Celik2.2

Igman Konjic0.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CELIK · PPG 2.50

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=64.3%

Win probability 1X2

Celik (H) 64.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Igman Konjic (A) 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Celik face Igman Konjic on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Celik a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Igman Konjic 15%, so Celik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Celik and 0.7 for Igman Konjic (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Celik are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.08 for Igman Konjic.

Celik vs Igman Konjic Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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