Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Vidar vs Traef

Vidar vs Traef Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 15:00

Vidar

PPG 0.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Traef

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 75.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a clear edge.

+17.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-17.8%0-210.5%0-39.4%0-4+12.2%1 1-02.4%1-16.6%1-28.9%1-38.0%1-4+10.4%2 2-01.0%2-12.8%2-23.8%2-33.4%2-4+4.4%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-21.1%3-31.0%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% 28.2% 3.55 -31.5%

Draw 20.6% 26.7% 3.75 -13.7%

Away win 66.0% 55.6% 1.80 +18.8%

Over 2.5 65.8% 69.0% 1.45 -4.6%

Over 3.5 43.1% 46.5% 2.15 -7.3%

BTTS 55.3% 70.4% 1.42 -21.5%

Home O1.5 20.9% 43.5% 2.30 -31.2%

Away O1.5 75.1% 63.7% 1.57 +17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob55.3%

A 66% / xG 0.8-2.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.5%

#2 0–3 9.4%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 1–1✓ 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vidar0.8

Traef2.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDAR · PPG 0.00

TRAEF · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Vidar (H) 13.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -31.5%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -13.7%

Traef (A) 66.0%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +18.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vidar face Traef in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vidar a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Traef 66%, so Traef are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vidar and 2.7 for Traef (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vidar are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Traef. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +43.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Vidar vs Traef Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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