Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Sarpsborg 08 B vs Oppsal

Sarpsborg 08 B vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Sarpsborg 08 B

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Oppsal

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.1%0-24.5%0-33.3%0-4+3.0%1 1-03.3%1-17.3%1-28.0%1-35.9%1-4+5.4%2 2-03.0%2-16.5%2-27.2%2-35.3%2-4+4.8%3 3-01.8%3-13.9%3-24.3%3-33.1%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.6%4+-22.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 48.8% 2.05 -28.2%

Draw 21.3% 24.4% 4.10 -7.6%

Away win 43.7% 38.2% 2.62 +14.5%

Over 2.5 65.8% 76.9% 1.30 -14.5%

Over 3.5 45.0% 56.8% 1.76 -20.8%

BTTS 63.4% 78.7% 1.27 -19.5%

Home O1.5 53.4% 64.9% 1.54 -17.8%

Away O1.5 64.5% 57.8% 1.73 +11.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.4%

A 44% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.3%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sarpsborg 08 B1.8

Oppsal2.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SARPSBORG 08 B · PPG 2.00

OPPSAL · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Sarpsborg 08 B (H) 35.0%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -28.2%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -7.6%

Oppsal (A) 43.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 B face Oppsal in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sarpsborg 08 B a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Oppsal 44%, so Oppsal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sarpsborg 08 B and 2.2 for Oppsal (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sarpsborg 08 B are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Oppsal. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +25.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Sarpsborg 08 B vs Oppsal Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Predictions