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Shturmi vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 16:00

Shturmi

PPG 1.67 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Gori

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.6%0-111.9%0-22.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-022.5%1-111.0%1-22.7%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.3%2-15.0%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.2%3-11.5%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% — — —

Draw 38.6% — — —

Away win 20.0% — — —

Over 2.5 25.8% — — —

Over 3.5 5.4% — — —

BTTS 41.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob41.8%

H 41% / xG 0.9-0.5 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.6%

#2 1–0 22.5%

#3 1–1 11.0%

#4 2–0✓ 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shturmi0.9

Gori0.5

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SHTURMI · PPG 1.67

GORI · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=41.4%

Win probability 1X2

Shturmi (H) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gori (A) 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shturmi face Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shturmi a 41% chance, the draw 39% and Gori 20%, so Shturmi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Shturmi and 0.5 for Gori (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shturmi are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.50 for Gori. This match finished 2-0.

Shturmi vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Predictions