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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Saturday, May 30, 2026 13:00 
Fittja IF PPG 2.00 
Lindo FF PPG 1.00
Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Saturday, May 30, 2026 13:00 Fittja IF PPG 2.003-0 MISS
Lindo FF PPG 1.00Home· +16.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.44 -7.7%
Over 3.5 42.7% Odds: 2.10 -10.3%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.36 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Fittja IF 2.00
Lindo FF 1.45
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 21 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 52%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 30.0%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.8%