Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand / Fittja IF vs Lindo FF

Fittja IF vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Fittja IF

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lindo FF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-14.6%0-23.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.4%1-19.2%1-26.7%1-33.2%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.3%2-19.2%2-26.7%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.2%3-16.1%3-24.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.8%4+-23.5%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 42.9% 2.33 +16.0%

Draw 22.5% 27.4% 3.65 -10.7%

Away win 27.7% 40.0% 2.50 -18.4%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%

Over 3.5 42.7% 47.6% 2.10 -10.3%

BTTS 63.4% 73.5% 1.36 -13.8%

Home O1.5 59.4% 56.5% 1.77 +5.1%

Away O1.5 42.5% 54.1% 1.85 -21.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 6.7%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fittja IF2.0

Lindo FF1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FITTJA IF · PPG 2.00

LINDO FF · PPG 1.00

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.8%

Win probability 1X2

Fittja IF (H) 49.8%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +16.0%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -10.7%

Lindo FF (A) 27.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fittja IF face Lindo FF in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fittja IF a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Lindo FF 28%, so Fittja IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Fittja IF and 1.4 for Lindo FF (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fittja IF are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Lindo FF. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.0%. This match finished 3-0.

Fittja IF vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Predictions