Today / AIK vs Sirius

AIK vs Sirius Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

AIK

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Sirius

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-17.6%0-28.3%0-36.1%0-4+5.6%1 1-04.0%1-18.9%1-29.7%1-37.1%1-4+6.6%2 2-02.4%2-15.2%2-25.7%2-34.2%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.9%3-12.0%3-22.2%3-31.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.1% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 57.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.5% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 32.7% — — —

Away O1.5 64.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob61.0%

A 57% / xG 1.2-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 1–3 7.1%

#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AIK1.2

Sirius2.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AIK · PPG 1.50

SIRIUS · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

AIK (H) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sirius (A) 57.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

AIK face Sirius on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AIK a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Sirius 57%, so Sirius are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for AIK and 2.2 for Sirius (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AIK are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.50 for Sirius. This match finished 0-3.

AIK vs Sirius Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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