Today / Bodo/Glimt W vs Molde W

Bodo/Glimt W vs Molde W Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Bodo/Glimt W
PPG 0.25 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5
Molde W
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-15.9%0-29.8%0-310.8%0-4+20.5%1 1-01.3%1-14.3%1-27.0%1-37.7%1-4+14.7%2 2-00.5%2-11.5%2-22.5%2-32.8%2-4+5.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.6%3-30.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 9.2%
Draw 21.3%
Away win 69.5%
Over 2.5 65.8%
Over 3.5 45.5%
BTTS 52.0%
Home O1.5 16.2%
Away O1.5 84.1%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob52.0%

A 70% / xG 0.7-3.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 10.8%
#2 0–2 9.8%
#3 0–4 8.9%
#4 1–3 7.7%
#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bodo/Glimt W0.7
Molde W3.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BODO/GLIMT W · PPG 0.25

MOLDE W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Bodo/Glimt W (H) 9.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Molde W (A) 69.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bodo/Glimt W face Molde W on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bodo/Glimt W a 9% chance, the draw 21% and Molde W 70%, so Molde W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bodo/Glimt W and 3.3 for Molde W (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bodo/Glimt W are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Molde W. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org