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Friedberg vs Eddersheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

Friedberg

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Eddersheim

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.9%0-24.9%0-33.2%0-4+2.5%1 1-04.3%1-18.5%1-28.4%1-35.5%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.7%2-17.3%2-27.2%2-34.7%2-4+3.6%3 3-02.1%3-14.2%3-24.1%3-32.7%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.6%4+-22.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 41.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 50.3% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.0%

A 41% / xG 1.7-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Friedberg1.7

Eddersheim2.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FRIEDBERG · PPG 1.75

EDDERSHEIM · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Friedberg (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eddersheim (A) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Friedberg face Eddersheim in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Friedberg a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Eddersheim 41%, so Eddersheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Friedberg and 2.0 for Eddersheim (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Friedberg are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Eddersheim. This match finished 2-3.

Friedberg vs Eddersheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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