Today / Fernwald vs Hanauer SC

Fernwald vs Hanauer SC Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Fernwald

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Hanauer SC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.2%0-22.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.1%1-17.7%1-24.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.3%2-19.3%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.5%3-24.8%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-06.2%4+-17.9%4+-25.1%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 69.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.0%

H 53% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1✓ 7.7%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fernwald2.4

Hanauer SC1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FERNWALD · PPG 1.44

HANAUER SC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Fernwald (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hanauer SC (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fernwald face Hanauer SC on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fernwald a 53% chance, the draw 21% and Hanauer SC 26%, so Fernwald are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Fernwald and 1.3 for Hanauer SC (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fernwald are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Hanauer SC. This match finished 1-1.

Fernwald vs Hanauer SC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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