Today / Kolkheti Poti vs Bolnisi

Kolkheti Poti vs Bolnisi Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Kolkheti Poti

PPG 1.57 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bolnisi

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=44.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-19.6%0-24.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.7%1-112.9%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-18.7%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.8%3-13.9%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 28.0% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.7% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 39.0% — — —

Away O1.5 27.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0✓ 9.4%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolkheti Poti1.3

Bolnisi1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLKHETI POTI · PPG 1.57

BOLNISI · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=44.0%

Win probability 1X2

Kolkheti Poti (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bolnisi (A) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolkheti Poti face Bolnisi on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolkheti Poti a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Bolnisi 28%, so Kolkheti Poti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kolkheti Poti and 1.0 for Bolnisi (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolkheti Poti are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.71 for Bolnisi. This match finished 0-0.

Kolkheti Poti vs Bolnisi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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