Today / IF Fuglafjordur vs B71 Sandur

IF Fuglafjordur vs B71 Sandur Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

IF Fuglafjordur
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
B71 Sandur
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-13.8%0-25.3%0-34.9%0-4+6.7%1 1-02.1%1-15.8%1-28.0%1-37.4%1-4+10.1%2 2-01.6%2-14.3%2-26.0%2-35.6%2-4+7.6%3 3-00.8%3-12.2%3-23.0%3-32.8%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.1%4+-21.6%4+-31.5%4+-4+2.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.2%
Draw 21.2%
Away win 57.5%
Over 2.5 70.5%
Over 3.5 45.5%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 44.4%
Away O1.5 76.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob63.4%

A 57% / xG 1.5-2.8 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%
#2 1–3 7.4%
#3 1–1 5.8%
#4 2–2 6.0%
#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Fuglafjordur1.5
B71 Sandur2.8

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IF FUGLAFJORDUR · PPG 1.50

B71 SANDUR · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

IF Fuglafjordur (H) 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
B71 Sandur (A) 57.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Fuglafjordur face B71 Sandur on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Fuglafjordur a 21% chance, the draw 21% and B71 Sandur 57%, so B71 Sandur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for IF Fuglafjordur and 2.8 for B71 Sandur (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Fuglafjordur are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for B71 Sandur. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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