Today / Harju JK vs Narva Trans

Harju JK vs Narva Trans Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Harju JK

PPG 1.17 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Narva Trans

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.0%0-21.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.2%1-18.8%1-23.8%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.3%3-17.2%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-16.6%4+-22.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 52.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.7% — — —

Away O1.5 21.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.5%

H 56% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.3%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 3–0✓ 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Harju JK2.2

Narva Trans0.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HARJU JK · PPG 1.17

NARVA TRANS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Harju JK (H) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Narva Trans (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Harju JK face Narva Trans on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harju JK a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Narva Trans 21%, so Harju JK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Harju JK and 0.9 for Narva Trans (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harju JK are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.00 for Narva Trans. This match finished 3-0.

Harju JK vs Narva Trans Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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