Today / Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan

Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Meizhou Hakka

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dingnan

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-115.8%0-213.4%0-37.6%0-4+4.7%1 1-06.3%1-110.7%1-29.1%1-35.1%1-4+3.2%2 2-02.1%2-13.6%2-23.1%2-31.7%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.5%3-10.8%3-20.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.4% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 57.9% — — —

Over 2.5 48.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 14.8% — — —

Away O1.5 50.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob47.2%

A 58% / xG 0.7-1.7 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.8%

#2 0–2 13.4%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meizhou Hakka0.7

Dingnan1.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MEIZHOU HAKKA · PPG 0.60

DINGNAN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Meizhou Hakka (H) 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dingnan (A) 57.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meizhou Hakka face Dingnan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meizhou Hakka a 17% chance, the draw 25% and Dingnan 58%, so Dingnan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Meizhou Hakka and 1.7 for Dingnan (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meizhou Hakka are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Dingnan.

Meizhou Hakka vs Dingnan Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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