Today / Guangxi H. vs Foshan Nanshi

Guangxi H. vs Foshan Nanshi Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Guangxi H.

PPG 2.50 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

Foshan Nanshi

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-111.2%0-23.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.4%1-112.6%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.3%2-17.1%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.9%3-12.6%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 34.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 46.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.5%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 1–0 18.4%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guangxi H.1.1

Foshan Nanshi0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GUANGXI H. · PPG 2.50

FOSHAN NANSHI · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Guangxi H. (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Foshan Nanshi (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guangxi H. face Foshan Nanshi on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guangxi H. a 46% chance, the draw 30% and Foshan Nanshi 23%, so Guangxi H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Guangxi H. and 0.7 for Foshan Nanshi (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guangxi H. are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Foshan Nanshi. This match finished 3-3.

Guangxi H. vs Foshan Nanshi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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