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Lithuania - A Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 16 Telsiai Central Stadium· Telsiai Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:15
Dziugas Telsiai logo Dziugas Telsiai PPG 1.71
4-0 MISS
Panevezys logo Panevezys PPG 0.86
Home· +15.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.7%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +15.9%
Draw 24.6%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -14.2%
Away 22.7%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -20.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.5% Odds: 1.95 -5.4%
Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 3.40 -3.1%
BTTS 51.1% Odds: 1.70 -13.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Dziugas Telsiai
1.62
Panevezys
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home +15.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=52.7%

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