Today / Dalian Kuncheng vs S. Gongfu

Dalian Kuncheng vs S. Gongfu Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Dalian Kuncheng

PPG 0.75 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

S. Gongfu

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-19.0%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.5%1-111.1%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-16.8%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.4%3-12.8%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.0% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 20.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.0% — — —

Over 3.5 19.6% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 34.8% — — —

Away O1.5 9.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.5%

H 50% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.5%

#2 0–0✓ 17.5%

#3 2–0 13.2%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalian Kuncheng1.2

S. Gongfu0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DALIAN KUNCHENG · PPG 0.75

S. GONGFU · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Dalian Kuncheng (H) 50.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Gongfu (A) 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Kuncheng face S. Gongfu on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Kuncheng a 50% chance, the draw 30% and S. Gongfu 21%, so Dalian Kuncheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dalian Kuncheng and 0.5 for S. Gongfu (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Kuncheng are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.25 for S. Gongfu. This match finished 0-0.

Dalian Kuncheng vs S. Gongfu Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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