Today / Henan SL vs Zhejiang

Henan SL vs Zhejiang Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Henan SL

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Zhejiang

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-18.2%0-24.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.6%1-112.3%1-26.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.2%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.7%3-14.6%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% — — —

Draw 25.3% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 44.2% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.7%

H 51% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–0 8.4%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Henan SL1.5

Zhejiang1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HENAN SL · PPG 1.67

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Henan SL (H) 50.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zhejiang (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Henan SL face Zhejiang on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Henan SL a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Zhejiang 24%, so Henan SL are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Henan SL and 1.0 for Zhejiang (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Henan SL are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.17 for Zhejiang. This match finished 0-2.

Henan SL vs Zhejiang Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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