Today / GKS Katowice W vs Gdansk W

GKS Katowice W vs Gdansk W Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

GKS Katowice W

PPG 1.90 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Gdansk W

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.90) vs P(Home)=61.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-12.2%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.3%1-16.2%1-23.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.9%2-18.8%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-111.4%4+-25.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.4% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 18.8% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 77.0% — — —

Away O1.5 26.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.0%

H 61% / xG 2.8-1.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 8.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 3–0✓ 8.3%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GKS Katowice W2.8

Gdansk W1.0

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GKS KATOWICE W · PPG 1.90

GDANSK W · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.90) vs P(Home)=61.4%

Win probability 1X2

GKS Katowice W (H) 61.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gdansk W (A) 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GKS Katowice W face Gdansk W on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GKS Katowice W a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Gdansk W 19%, so GKS Katowice W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for GKS Katowice W and 1.0 for Gdansk W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GKS Katowice W are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.70 for Gdansk W. This match finished 3-0.

GKS Katowice W vs Gdansk W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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