Today / C. Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W

C. Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

C. Sosnowiec W

PPG 2.70 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

UKS SMS Lodz W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.70) vs P(Home)=62.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.9%0-20.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.3%1-15.6%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.3%2-18.3%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.2%3-18.2%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-014.1%4+-112.6%4+-25.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.8% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 17.2% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 79.5% — — —

Away O1.5 22.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.3%

H 63% / xG 3.0-0.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.3%

#2 3–0 9.2%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 4–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Sosnowiec W3.0

UKS SMS Lodz W0.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

C. SOSNOWIEC W · PPG 2.70

UKS SMS LODZ W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.70) vs P(Home)=62.8%

Win probability 1X2

C. Sosnowiec W (H) 62.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UKS SMS Lodz W (A) 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Sosnowiec W face UKS SMS Lodz W on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Sosnowiec W a 63% chance, the draw 20% and UKS SMS Lodz W 17%, so C. Sosnowiec W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for C. Sosnowiec W and 0.9 for UKS SMS Lodz W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Sosnowiec W are averaging 2.70 points per game versus 1.40 for UKS SMS Lodz W. This match finished 3-2.

C. Sosnowiec W vs UKS SMS Lodz W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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