Today / Presov W vs Bardejov W

Presov W vs Bardejov W Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Presov W
PPG 1.42 · HOME
2 – 6
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Bardejov W
PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away GOOD (1.55)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.6%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.9%1-15.0%1-23.2%1-31.3%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.0%2-17.7%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.3%3-18.0%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-010.5%4+-113.4%4+-28.5%4+-33.6%4+-4+1.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 61.8%
Draw 19.6%
Away win 18.6%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 81.6%
Away O1.5 36.4%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-6
xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.4%

H 62% / xG 3.1-1.3 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.0%
#2 2–1 7.7%
#3 3–0 6.3%
#4 4–1 6.2%
#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Presov W3.1
Bardejov W1.3

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PRESOV W · PPG 1.42

BARDEJOV W · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

Presov W (H) 61.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bardejov W (A) 18.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Presov W face Bardejov W on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Presov W a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Bardejov W 19%, so Presov W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Presov W and 1.3 for Bardejov W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Presov W are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.55 for Bardejov W. This match finished 2-6.

PredictVantage

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