Today / Pardubice U19 vs Plzen U19

Pardubice U19 vs Plzen U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Pardubice U19
PPG 1.92 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Plzen U19
PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.2%0-23.3%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.4%1-18.6%1-26.8%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.5%2-18.8%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.8%3-16.0%3-24.8%3-32.5%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.0%4+-23.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.6%
Draw 21.9%
Away win 30.4%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Over 3.5 43.1%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 60.8%
Away O1.5 47.1%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%
#2 2–1 8.8%
#3 2–2 7.0%
#4 1–2 6.8%
#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pardubice U192.1
Plzen U191.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.92

PLZEN U19 · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Pardubice U19 (H) 47.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Plzen U19 (A) 30.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pardubice U19 face Plzen U19 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pardubice U19 a 48% chance, the draw 22% and Plzen U19 30%, so Pardubice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Pardubice U19 and 1.6 for Plzen U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pardubice U19 are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.38 for Plzen U19. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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