Today / George Cross vs Green Gully

George Cross vs Green Gully Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

George Cross
PPG 1.33 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Green Gully
PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=60.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-14.7%0-21.5%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.7%1-19.2%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.5%2-19.1%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.5%3-15.9%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-14.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 60.5%
Draw 21.0%
Away win 18.5%
Over 2.5 53.2%
Over 3.5 30.9%
BTTS 47.2%
Home O1.5 58.6%
Away O1.5 13.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.2%

H 60% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.5%
#2 1–0 14.7%
#3 1–1 9.2%
#4 3–0 9.5%
#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

George Cross2.0
Green Gully0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GEORGE CROSS · PPG 1.33

GREEN GULLY · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=60.5%

Win probability 1X2

George Cross (H) 60.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Green Gully (A) 18.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

George Cross face Green Gully on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives George Cross a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Green Gully 19%, so George Cross are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for George Cross and 0.6 for Green Gully (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, George Cross are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.29 for Green Gully. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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