Today / Mungyeong W vs Hwacheon W

Mungyeong W vs Hwacheon W Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Mungyeong W

PPG 1.40 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Hwacheon W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.8%0-118.9%0-27.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.3%1-112.1%1-24.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.9%2-13.9%2-21.5%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.0%3-10.8%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% — — —

Draw 35.6% — — —

Away win 36.3% — — —

Over 2.5 32.7% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 44.4% — — —

Home O1.5 13.6% — — —

Away O1.5 18.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.4%

D 36% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.8%

#2 0–1 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 1–0 15.3%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mungyeong W0.6

Hwacheon W0.8

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MUNGYEONG W · PPG 1.40

HWACHEON W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Mungyeong W (H) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hwacheon W (A) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mungyeong W face Hwacheon W on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mungyeong W a 28% chance, the draw 36% and Hwacheon W 36%, so Hwacheon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Mungyeong W and 0.8 for Hwacheon W (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mungyeong W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 2.00 for Hwacheon W. This match finished 3-2.

Mungyeong W vs Hwacheon W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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