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Gwelup Croatia vs Quinns Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 07:00

Gwelup Croatia

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Quinns

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.1%0-23.8%0-32.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-04.2%1-18.0%1-27.5%1-34.7%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.1%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.6%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.7%3-15.0%3-24.7%3-33.0%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.8%4+-23.6%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 58.0% — — —

Away O1.5 56.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.4%

H 40% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.0%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gwelup Croatia1.9

Quinns1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GWELUP CROATIA · PPG 1.00

QUINNS · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Gwelup Croatia (H) 39.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Quinns (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gwelup Croatia face Quinns in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gwelup Croatia a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Quinns 37%, so Gwelup Croatia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gwelup Croatia and 1.9 for Quinns (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gwelup Croatia are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.17 for Quinns. This match finished 1-1.

Gwelup Croatia vs Quinns Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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