← Back to picks 
Australia - South Australia NPL Saturday, May 30, 2026 05:30 
Sturt Lions PPG 1.00 
FK Beograd PPG 1.33
Australia - South Australia NPL Saturday, May 30, 2026 05:30 Sturt Lions PPG 1.002-1 HIT CS3
FK Beograd PPG 1.33Away· -0.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.44 -7.7%
Over 3.5 39.5% Odds: 1.90 -24.9%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.40 -14.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 0-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturt Lions 1.45
FK Beograd 1.76
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
DANGER 45%
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)