Today / Gungahlin Juven vs Tuggeranong Utd

Gungahlin Juven vs Tuggeranong Utd Prediction

Saturday, May 30, 2026

Gungahlin Juven
PPG 1.50 · HOME
5 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Tuggeranong Utd
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.0%0-22.6%0-32.2%0-4+2.6%1 1-01.8%1-14.6%1-25.9%1-35.0%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.1%2-15.3%2-26.7%2-35.7%2-4+6.7%3 3-01.6%3-14.0%3-25.1%3-34.4%3-4+5.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-14.0%4+-25.1%4+-34.3%4+-4+5.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.6%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 41.7%
Over 2.5 73.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 65.9%
Home O1.5 66.8%
Away O1.5 72.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-0
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob65.9%

A 42% / xG 2.3-2.6 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%
#2 1–2 5.9%
#3 2–3 5.7%
#4 1–1 4.6%
#5 2–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gungahlin Juven2.3
Tuggeranong Utd2.6

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GUNGAHLIN JUVEN · PPG 1.50

TUGGERANONG UTD · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Gungahlin Juven (H) 37.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Tuggeranong Utd (A) 41.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gungahlin Juven face Tuggeranong Utd on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gungahlin Juven a 38% chance, the draw 21% and Tuggeranong Utd 42%, so Tuggeranong Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Gungahlin Juven and 2.6 for Tuggeranong Utd (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gungahlin Juven are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Tuggeranong Utd. This match finished 5-0.

PredictVantage

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