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Australia - Victoria NPL
Regular Season - 15
Saturday, May 30, 2026
05:00
Melbourne C. B
PPG 1.29
0-1
MISS
Dandenong City
PPG 0.67
Home· -2.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
56.3%
Odds: 1.73
EV: -2.6%
Draw
22.6%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -8.5%
Away
21.1%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -10.6%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
54.8%
Odds: 1.53
-16.2%
Over 3.5
36.2%
Odds: 2.35
-14.9%
BTTS
51.8%
Odds: 1.50
-22.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne C. B
1.91
Dandenong City
0.84
Model Suggestion
Home
-2.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -2.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.67)