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Torns vs Linero Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland - 10 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

Torns

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Linero

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 76.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a clear edge.

+30.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-16.1%0-28.5%0-37.8%0-4+10.7%1 1-02.3%1-16.4%1-28.8%1-38.2%1-4+11.1%2 2-01.2%2-13.3%2-24.6%2-34.2%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.4%3-11.1%3-21.6%3-31.5%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% 34.5% 2.90 -36.7%

Draw 20.6% 27.0% 3.70 -14.3%

Away win 66.0% 48.8% 2.05 +35.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 67.6% 1.48 -2.6%

Over 3.5 43.1% 45.5% 2.20 -5.2%

BTTS 61.0% 70.4% 1.42 -13.4%

Home O1.5 27.9% 48.8% 2.05 -25.7%

Away O1.5 76.5% 58.8% 1.70 +30.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -27.8%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob61.0%

A 66% / xG 1.0-2.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.8%

#2 0–2 8.5%

#3 1–3 8.2%

#4 0–3 7.8%

#5 1–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torns1.0

Linero2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TORNS · PPG 0.75

LINERO · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Torns (H) 13.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -36.7%

Draw 20.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -14.3%

Linero (A) 66.0%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +35.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torns face Linero in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torns a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Linero 66%, so Linero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Torns and 2.8 for Linero (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torns are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.80 for Linero. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +69.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Torns vs Linero Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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