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Lithuania - A Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 16 FK TransINVEST stadium· Sirvintos Friday, May 29, 2026 16:00
TransINVEST logo TransINVEST PPG 1.71
2-1 HIT CS4
Hegelmann L. logo Hegelmann L. PPG 0.83
Away· -1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.1%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -6.4%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -13.5%
Away 23.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -1.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.70 -7.3%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.62 -15.6%
BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.65 -14.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

TransINVEST
1.85
Hegelmann L.
0.81

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=54.1%

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