Super Nova II vs Valmiera Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - 1. Liga Regular Season - 9 Sporta centrs Krasts Tuesday, May 26, 2026 17:00

Super Nova II PPG 1.80

0-0 MISS

Valmiera PPG 2.40

Home· +7.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.7%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +7.9%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -1.7%

Away 43.0%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -24.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.3% Odds: 1.50 -6.6%

Over 3.5 43.4% Odds: 2.20 -4.5%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.45 -13.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Super Nova II

1.47

Valmiera

1.90

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 85%

BTTS/No 77%

Score Hit 15%

ROI -38.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.80)