Today / Norway - 1. Division / Stromsgodset vs Bryne

Stromsgodset vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 15:00

Stromsgodset

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Bryne

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 87.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1% — a clear edge.

+17.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.0%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.2%1-13.7%1-22.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.7%2-16.5%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.7%3-17.8%3-24.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-015.0%4+-117.4%4+-210.0%4+-33.9%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.9% 69.4% 1.44 -3.7%

Draw 21.4% 22.7% 4.40 -3.5%

Away win 11.6% 18.2% 5.50 -21.7%

Over 2.5 73.3% 71.4% 1.40 +2.6%

Over 3.5 69.3% 50.0% 2.00 +38.6%

BTTS 59.7% 67.6% 1.48 -11.6%

Home O1.5 87.1% 74.1% 1.35 +17.6%

Away O1.5 32.1% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 67% / xG 3.6-1.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 4–1 6.9%

#3 3–0 6.7%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 4–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stromsgodset3.6

Bryne1.2

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 69.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STROMSGODSET · PPG 3.00

BRYNE · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Stromsgodset (H) 66.9%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -3.7%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -3.5%

Bryne (A) 11.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -21.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stromsgodset face Bryne in Norway - 1. Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stromsgodset a 67% chance, the draw 21% and Bryne 12%, so Stromsgodset are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Stromsgodset and 1.2 for Bryne (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stromsgodset are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Bryne. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +38.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Stromsgodset vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1. Division Predictions